Forward tests · Live

The scoreboard nobody else publishes

A backtest can be argued with; a forward test can't. Every night, our engine replays each tracked strategy on fresh exchange data and records only trades entered after the cohort was published. Open positions are never force-closed to flatter the numbers, and the results publish either way. This page updates automatically.

Cohort 1 — sweep survivors

429 strategy variants that passed out-of-sample gates in a 6,624-combination parameter sweep, forward-tested nightly since 2026-07-08. Grouped by entry family — individual variants stay private.

Forward trades
51,076
Net per trade
-1.5 bp
Win rate
61.0%
Entry familyVariantsTradesNet / tradeWin
Momentum — rate of change9112,765-2.2 bp62%
Momentum — RSI6611,762-6.9 bp58%
Mean reversion — fade516,350-1.9 bp60%
Mean reversion — RSI855,256+2.8 bp63%
Momentum — MACD273,185+3.8 bp65%
Momentum — stochastic173,174+1.8 bp61%
Volume — money flow292,891+2.4 bp61%
Momentum — confluence202,663-5.2 bp62%
Mean reversion — stochastic222,037+5.8 bp64%
Mean reversion — Bollinger17915+11.9 bp65%
other1478-37.5 bp44%

Net figures include realistic costs. Early samples move — a few days of forward trades is a draft, not a verdict; the point is that the record accumulates in public and can't be edited after the fact.

Cohort 2 — the AI report-card passers

The two gate-passing strategies from the AI Strategy Report Card (Gemini's B and ChatGPT's near-miss), forward-tested nightly since 2026-07-10 at full taker costs.

gemini
2 forward trades · -176.4 bp / trade · 0% win
chatgpt

No closed forward trades yet — these are low-frequency systems (the backtest averaged a trade every few days). Zero is the honest number until the market gives a signal.

hermes

No closed forward trades yet — these are low-frequency systems (the backtest averaged a trade every few days). Zero is the honest number until the market gives a signal.

The rules, so you can hold us to them

  • Only trades entered on or after each cohort's publication date count. Nothing retroactive.
  • A trade is recorded only after its full exit window has elapsed — open positions are never force-closed into the stats.
  • All net figures include realistic trading costs.
  • Numbers publish win or lose. If a cohort bleeds out, that stays on this page too.
The Forward Test — weekly email

Get this scoreboard in your inbox every Monday

The week's forward numbers, exactly as recorded — win or lose. No trade signals, no upsells, one email a week.

Want your own strategy held to the same standard? Grading is free, and the gates don't negotiate.

Grade your strategy — free